Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.462177 0.590581 0.729191 0.888086 1.063512 1.249792 1.461144
2025-05-25 0.240925 0.399438 0.591067 0.829971 1.111753 1.426969 1.800318
2025-06-01 0.131304 0.287080 0.496693 0.776175 1.121665 1.521448 2.007451
2025-06-08 0.070501 0.217028 0.438495 0.752740 1.156841 1.637058 2.232351
2025-06-15 0.041162 0.181722 0.417867 0.769684 1.235202 1.798615 2.506153
2025-06-22 0.018140 0.142550 0.382794 0.760960 1.276546 1.912132 2.720477
2025-06-29 0.004541 0.106473 0.343695 0.740479 1.298217 1.998216 2.899255
2025-07-06 0.001285 0.096496 0.346763 0.779525 1.397463 2.179977 3.193158
2025-07-13 0.000141 0.090626 0.355867 0.826780 1.507299 2.374837 3.502991
2025-07-20 NaN 0.083727 0.361285 0.867543 1.607848 2.557752 3.798184
2025-07-27 NaN 0.086516 0.386709 0.939651 1.751627 2.795875 4.161494
2025-08-03 NaN 0.084084 0.400253 0.992704 1.869012 3.000390 4.483622
2025-08-10 NaN 0.069706 0.386708 1.004899 1.934225 3.144404 4.739554
2025-08-17 NaN 0.042768 0.333900 0.949077 1.902314 3.163078 4.840978
2025-08-24 NaN 0.022304 0.283098 0.889581 1.860437 3.165231 4.918640
2025-08-31 NaN 0.012143 0.254455 0.864866 1.866272 3.227849 5.070219
2025-09-07 NaN 0.008625 0.249511 0.882952 1.934982 3.373538 5.326560
2025-09-14 NaN 0.004057 0.231234 0.873611 1.961493 3.462270 5.510228
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000907 0.207968 0.851568 1.967173 3.522051 5.656313
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000714 0.215973 0.893557 2.071526 3.715414 5.973484
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000741 0.228094 0.944278 2.189564 3.927523 6.314911
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000612 0.236852 0.987956 2.296745 4.125011 6.637760
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001291 0.261444 1.065065 2.456021 4.393441 7.051834